We’re looking at the usual suspects once again in this week’s Home Dog Alert. NFL Week 14 home dogs include the Houston Texans, New York Jets, Washington Football Team, and the Cincinnati Bengals.
It’s no surprise to see the Jets and Texans listed as home dogs once again. They’re two of the worst teams in the NFL and bottom feeders in the AFC with next to zero leverage in their home stadiums.
|NFL Week 14 Home Dogs
- Houston Texans +8.5
- New York Jets +5.5
- Washington Football Team +4.5
- Cincinnati Bengals +1.5
Home dogs went 3-5 against the spread last week when more than half of the scheduled games featured home underdogs. Betting-wise in the NFL this season, home dogs are 37-43 ATS.
Houston Texans +8.5
The Seattle Seahawks (4-8) ended an ugly slide with a big win against the San Francisco 49ers last week. The Seahawks have a chance to begin a winning streak when they head to Houston to play the lowly Texans (2-10). The offensively-challenged Texans have a -159 point differential, which is the worst in the NFL. The two-win Texans have an inside track to the #1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, and it realistically looks like they could finish the season at 2-15. The Texans are 5-7 ATS overall, but 3-2 ATS as home dogs this season.
New York Jets +5.5
The Jets (3-9) opened as +4 home dogs, but it’s been nonstop money on the New Orleans Saints (5-7) since Sunday evening. The Jets are currently +5.5 home dogs, and that line could continue to move toward +6 or more. There’s no love for the LOL Jets these days, especially at MetLife Stadium.
We love to fade the Jets. It’s one of our favorite blind betting moves because the LOL Jets haven’t shown any semblance of competence in the past few seasons. The Jets are 3-9 ATS this season, but you booked a profit with a 9-3 clip by fading them every week. In case you’re wondering, the Jets are 2-4 ATS as home dogs this season.
Washington Football Team +4.5
Washington won four games in a row to pull even at 6-6 on the season thanks to Taylor Heinicke, who did a bang-up job replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick. FitzMagic is dunzo for the season and facing hip surgery, so WFT will ride or die with Heinicke the rest of the way.
With a four-game winning streak on the line, the Dallas Cowboys (8-4) are coming to Washington, DC for a fierce divisional battle. The Cowboys have a two-game lead in the NFC East standings, but an upset win by Washington could put them in contention for a division title. Washington has five games remaining — all against NFC East foes — including two games in the next three weeks against the Cowboys.
Washington opened as +4 home dogs, but the line ticked up a half-point to +4.5. The Cowboys are the second-best against the spread in the NFL at 9-3. Washington is only 5-7 ATS this season.
Cincinnati Bengals +1.5
It’s a little weird to see the Bengals (7-5) listed among the home dogs in Week 14, especially against a non-conference opponent. The Bengals opened as a -3 favorite over the San Francisco 49ers (6-6) when oddsmakers posted the opening line on Sunday. Early money backed the visiting Niners, moving the line toward a pick’em after word got out that Bengals QB Joe Burrow suffered a dislocated pinky finger in Week 13 in a battle against Justin Herbert and the LA Chargers. The Bengals are currently +1.5 home dogs, but this line could easily fluctuate the other way and return to a pick’em or even push the Bengals back over as a favorite.
The Bengals are 6-6 ATS this season, but only 3-3 at home in Cincinnati. The 49ers have a losing record against the spread at 5-7, but they’re 4-2 on the road this season.