With one quarter of the season remaining, the Memphis Grizzlies are the best betting team in the NBA with a 41-19 record against the spread, and the Brooklyn Nets are the worst in the league covering the spread with a 22-36-1 ATS record.
The Grizzlies (40-20) exceeded everyone’s expectations this year with the third-best record in the league heading into the All-Star Break. The Grizzlies are one of three teams with at least 40 wins and they currently occupy the #3 seed in the Western Conference.
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|Oklahoma City Thunder
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The Brooklyn Nets came into this season as one of the preseason favorites to win the 2022 NBA title. The public expected the Nets were boa fide contenders and their Big 3 to win a lot of games and dominate teams. However, the Nets let down a lot of bettors with a 22-36-1 ATS record as the worst betting team in the NBA.
Beating the Spread: Grizzlies, Thunder, Cavs, Bulls
Thanks to a high-octane offense led by Ja Morant, the Grizzlies are not just able to beat teams, but they’ve been able to cover the spread with a 66.7% success rate and a 41-19 ATS record.
Since Christmas, the Grizzlies unleashed a monstrous streak with a 20-6-1 ATS record in their last 27 games. The Grizzlies average 113.8 points per game which is the best in the NBA. They have an average margin of victory of 4.9 ppg.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the second-worst team in the Western Conference and among the worst four teams in the NBA with a 18-40 record. However, they have a young and exciting squad filled with a handful of promising players including rookie Josh Giddey. The young Thunder lacked the experience to close out games with wins, but they been good enough to play in a lot of close games and exceed bettors’ expectations that they outright suck. The Thunder have the second-best ATS record in the NBA at 35-19-4.
The Cleveland Cavs (25-23) are the surprise team in the Eastern Conference where they hold down the #4 seed despite a slew of injuries in their backcourt. They have a mix of young and promising young players including Rookie of the Year candidate Evan Mobley. and recently acquired Caris LeVert in a trade with the Indiana Pacers. The Cavs are the third-best betting team in the NBA with a 34-21-3 ATS record.
The Chicago Bulls (38-21) are tied for the #1 seed in the tight Eastern Conference playoff race thanks to an outstanding season from DeMar DeRozan. They also boast the fourth-best betting record in the NBA with a 35-23-1 ATS clip.
Can’t Beat the Spread: Nets, Wiz, Rockets
The Brooklyn Nets were filled with drama all season. Kevin Durant injured his knee. They ad weird situation all season because Kyrie Irving missing the first half of the season, and then playing in only road games since rejoining the team. James Harden wanted out of Brooklyn and demanded a trade prior to the deadline. The Nets traded away the unhappy Harden to the Philadelphia 76ers in exchange for Ben Simmons. With a team in a state of disharmony, the Nets struggled across the board.
If you faded the Nets in every game this season, that would provide you with a 62.1% success rate. The Nets struggled overall with a 31-28 record, and when they won games, they failed to beat the spread at a 22-36-1 ATS clip. The Nets were only 10-18 against winning teams this season, but they feast on losing teams at 21-10. Despite beating bad teams, the Nets just struggle to cover.
The Washington Wizards (27-31) are on the Eastern Conference playoffs bubble, but they’re the second-worst betting team in the NBA with a 23-34-1 ATS record. The Wizards are 10-4 in close games decided by three points or less, but most of those wins were against teams they should’ve beaten by much more.
The Houston Rockets (15-43) are the worst overall team in the NBA and they could legit fail to reach 20 wins this season. They were the third-worst team covering the spread with a 23-34-1 ATS record.