Kyle Busch isn’t used to waiting this long to win a NASCAR Cup Series race, and the streak could end at Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400. At least that is what I am using my One Bet, $100 on in backing Busch to win at 5/1.

Kyle Busch Dixie Vodka 400
Kyle Busch has not won yet in 2020, but has a great chance to repeat at the Dixie Vodka 400 on Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway. (Image: Getty)

Busch is just to good not to be in the winner’s circle by now. The 35-year-old is entering the 12th race of the season at the Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. That is the longest winless drought he has experienced since 2017 when he won the 12th race of the season, the All-Star Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

How Long Before Busch’s First Victory

2010 10th Race
2011 Fourth Race
2012 Ninth Race
2013 Fifth Race
2014 Fifth Race
2015 Sixth Race
2016 Sixth Race
2017 12th Race
2018 Seventh Race
2019 Fourth Race
2020 ??????


On Wednesday I pocketed a $180 profit when I took Martin Truex at 2/1 to be the top Toyota driver at the Blue Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway on Wednesday. Truex was not only the top Toyota, he won his first race of the season.

One Bet, $100

This Week’s Pick Last Result Season Total
Kyle Busch win Won Truex top Toyota 3-3, up $280

I believe Busch breaks his winless streak on Sunday for several reasons. Plus at 5/1, the odds are too attractive to pass up.

Busch History of Success at Dixie Vodka 400

The most obvious factor for backing Busch is his success in the Dixie Vodka 400. Not only is he the defending champion, he won there in 2015 as well. Since that first victory, Busch has finished no worse than sixth. He is also the active leader in laps led with 463.

Busch’s finishes this season are another reason I like him on Sunday. The 2019 Cup champion might not have a victory, but he does have six finishes of fourth or better. One of those was last Sunday at Atlanta, where he finished second behind Kevin Harvick. Busch told reporters he felt he and his crew were close to a victory.

“We had good speed, you just couldn’t really push too hard,” Busch said. “Every time I pushed too hard, it would really hurt my tires in the long run. I think that was for everybody. That last run, I was trying to keep up with those front guys and as soon as I felt like I was pushing too hard and they were inching out on me.”

Why Busch Will Win

Busch’s Cup Series record this season seems to be falling into a pattern. He will have a non-top 5 finish, then follow up with two chances at a victory. On Wednesday at Martinsville, he ended up 19th. If the current pattern continues Sunday at the Dixie Vodka 400, Busch should have another chance at victory.

Kyle Busch 2020 Cup Series Results

Date Race Finish
Feb. 23 Las Vegas 15
March 1 Fontana 2
March 8 Phoenix 3
May 17 Darlington 26
May 20 Darlington 2
May 24 Charlotte 4
May 27 Charlotte 29
May 31 Bristol 4
June 7 Atlanta 2
June 10 Martinsville 19


Another advantage is where Busch is starting on Sunday. He is in the fourth position, and in the last six of seven races, the winning driver has started the race fifth or better.

It is a victory that is long overdue, and I believe will come Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.