Luka Doncic and the #4 Dallas Mavericks meet the #1 Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference semifinals, where the bookies have installed the Mavs as underdogs and bettors are backing the top-ranked Suns at -300 odds to continue their march to another conference title, and a trip to the NBA Finals.

Dallas Mavs Phoenix Suns Chris Paul Luka Doncic Series Playoffs NBA
Chris Paul from the Phoenix Suns defends Luka Doncic of the Dallas Mavericks; the two will meet again in a tough Western Conference semifinals series. (Image: Donald Becker/Getty)

The Suns were the runner-up last season after they lost to the Milwaukee Bucks in the 2021 NBA Finals. At the start of the season, neither bettors nor prognosticators had much faith in the Suns to replicate their deep run from last year. Both the Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Lakers drew all of the attention and early money, but the public was way off with their expectations. The Lakers missed the playoffs and didn’t even qualify for the play-in tournament, while the Nets were swept in the first round of the playoffs.

#4 Dallas Mavs (52-30) vs #1 Phoenix Suns (64-18)
2022 NBA Playoffs Series Odds
Phoenix Suns -300 Dallas Mavericks +245

Mavericks/Suns Series Schedule (Best of 7)
  • Game 1: May 2 – Mavericks at Suns
  • Game 2: May 4 – Mavericks at Suns
  • Game 3: May 6 – Suns at Mavericks
  • Game 4: May 8 – Suns at Mavericks
  • Game 5: May 10 – Mavericks at Suns
  • Game 6: May 12 – Suns at Mavericks
  • Game 7: May 15 – Mavericks at Suns

You can currently back the Suns at +290 odds to win the 2022 NBA championship, and at +130 odds to win the Western Conference crown in back-to-back seasons.

The Mavs are one of the long shots on the futures board at +2500 odds to win the championship.

Key matchup: Doncic vs. Bridges

Luka Doncic finally got off the schneid with a series win in the first round when the Mavs knocked out the #5 Utah Jazz. Doncic missed the first two games of the series with a calf strain, but the Jazz had numerous internal issues that prevented them from leveraging Doncic’s injury. The Mavs finally won a playoff series with Doncic, but now they face a tough task with the top-seeded Suns.

“It’s the first team to four and, hopefully, we can put ourselves in a position to do that,” said head coach Jason Kidd. “It’s going to start on the road against the Western Conference champs. This is a great test for us.”

In three games against the Jazz, Doncic averaged 29 points, 10.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game. As a result, the Jazz’s game plan is simple: slow down Doncic and the Mavs lose their edge.

“Luka’s in that category now of a high-level guy who has seen every defense,” said head Monty Williams said. “He’s so doggone big and strong, he can take the punishment and still see the other side of the floor.”

Doncic also knows the Suns are going to put their top defender against him with small forward Mikal Bridges.

“It’s really tough against Bridges,” admitted Doncic. “He’s different. He’s amazing, really impresses me. But then on the offensive end, he improved so much that it’s really an amazing player he has become. It’s a big challenge going against him.”

The Suns aren’t going to let Doncic beat them, so it’s up to Jalen Brunson (27.8 ppg) and other role players like Spencer Dinwiddie (15.3 ppg), Dorian Finney-Smith (13.2 ppg), and Reggie Bullock (10.7 ppg) to take on some of the scoring burden for the Mavs.

Booker returns with sore hammy

Devin Booker missed three games in the first round with a hamstring injury, but he returned in Game 6. He only contributed 13 points due to a bit of rust, but the Suns didn’t need him to dump in a ton of buckets to knock out the #8 New Orleans Pelicans.

“I thought he was fine,” said Williams. “When I talked to him, he was straight with me, he’s like ‘Coach, I’m fine, I feel strong.’ It wasn’t like he was cheating the game, he was just more efficient. He hadn’t played in over a week, so that probably had a lot to do with it”

In three games against the Pelicans, Booker averaged a team-high 23 ppg. Chris Paul stepped up with 22.3 points and 11.3 assists per game. Center Deandre Ayton played exceptionally well, averaging 20.5 points and 9.8 rebounds per game.

“We stay true to our coaching,” said Ayton. “We try to punish matchups just like they try to punish bigs on the perimeter. This is how the game goes. You’ve got to stay in front of your man and finish at the rim.”

Bridges brought intensity on both ends of the court with 17.3 ppg as the Suns’ lockdown defender. It’s one thing for a top defender to focus on defense, but Bridges had a breakout performance with 31 points in Game 5.

Check out more coverage of the 2022 NBA Playoffs.