Despite some of the lowest numbers of his time in office, President Donald Trump is still favored to win reelection in 2020. The number is shrinking, though.
In August Trump was a 7/5 pick by BetOnline, now he has slipped a bit to 2/1. At Ladbrokes he was 11/8, but has been adjusted to 2/1. Bovada had the lowest odds at 6/5, but they have also have trended higher at 9/5.
Trump enjoyed a speculative field five months ago, since no Democratic contenders had announced they were running for the highest office in the land. That has changed in the past two months as Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) have both announced their intentions to run for president. Warren has 16/1 odds of winning, while Harris is the second pick behind Trump at 5/1.
Border Wall, Government Shutdown Hurting Trump
The president has made border security a cornerstone of his political agenda and got into a showdown with House Democrats over funding for a border wall that he wants. The issue has hurt his approval numbers among voters. A Politico-Morning Consult poll taken show 57 percent of those asked disapprove of Trump’s performance.
Making good on his threat to shutdown the government if he did not get $5.7 billion in funding for the wall has also hurt his poll numbers.
In December a A Hill/HarrisX poll showed 39 percent of independent voters felt Trump and the GOP were responsible for the government shutdown. A similar poll conducted over last weekend saw the number rise to 46 percent.
Base Losing Faith
It’s not only Democrats and independents that believe Trump is mishandling the now 34 day-long government shutdown. Conservative radio and television talk show hosts have been questioning his actions.
Rush Limbaugh, who hosts a nationally syndicated show, said his supporters were starting to lose faith.
“There are people starting to weaken,” Limbaugh said in December. “There are people starting to go wobbly here.”
One of Trump’s main foes is Congresswomen Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif), who is the speaker of the house. She has been locked in a battle with Trump over his desire for a border wall, but said she is against the plan.
The war of words has crept into social media. Pelosi posted a tweet taking a jab at Trump.
“Trump voters on the #TrumpShutdown: ‘It’s starting to turn people like me away.’ ‘The wall is getting out of hand. It’s too much. It’s ridiculous. I’m sick of seeing it, I’m sick of hearing about it.’ ‘Something miraculous has to happen for me to vote for him again,’” Pelosi wrote.
Impeachment Odds Holding
Despite the mounting criticism on Trump, and the scandals he is currently facing over possible obstruction of justice and Russian meddling in the 2016 election, his impeachment odds haven’t moved. He is still at 5/6 to be impeached and 3/2 not to be impeached.
Trump told Reuters in an interview that he has no worries about being impeached.
“It’s hard to impeach somebody who hasn’t done anything wrong and who’s created the greatest economy in the history of our country,” Trump said. “I’m not concerned, no. I think that the people would revolt if that happened.”