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Final Four Preview: Will Anyone Slow Down the Sharpshooting Baylor Bears?

Baylor’s waited 71 years to return to the Final Four, making it back for the first time since 1950. Heading into the Final Four, the #1 Baylor Bears’ three-guard attack faces their toughest opponent in March Madness against the #2 Houston Cougars and their stifling defense.

Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (23), Adam Flagler (10),) and Matthew Mayer (24) celebrate a big play down the stretch for Baylor against Arkansas in March Madness Elite 8 action. (Image: Michael Conroy/AP).

No one shoots the 3-pointer better than Baylor, who leads the nation in long-range shooting with a 41% rate, but Houston’s smothering perimeter defense will be in their faces all game.

Baylor is a 5-point favorite coming into their Final Four matchup against Houston. It’s the closer of the two Final Four games, according to the opening point spread.


#2 Houston Cougars (28-3) vs #1 Baylor Bears (26-2)

Baylor has never won a March Madness title, but they came close once with a runner-up finish in 1948. Baylor’s become known for its college football program and top-notch women’s basketball teams under Kim Mulkey, but Scott Drew is working to finally put Baylor basketball on the map.

Baylor is +250 odds to win March Madness, according to a recent update by DraftKings at the start of the Final Four. KenPom ranked Baylor #2 overall this season.

Big Bears: Butler, Teague, Mitchell

Baylor’s three-guard attack includes a trio of snipers who shoot 40% or better from long range. They’re also tough defenders, especially Jared Butler, who usually gets the toughest defensive assignment.

Butler, a 6-foot-3 junior guard, leads Baylor in scoring with 16.5 ppg. He’s had a subpar March Madness so far with erratic shooting from 3-point land. He had two bad games in which he shot 1-for-8 and 1-for-9 from downtown, and both happened to be his lowest output in four tournament games.

MaCaio Teague, a 6-foot-4 senior guard, averages 15.9 ppg this season. He shot a smidge below 40% from beyond the arc this season. After a bad outing against Villanova in the Sweet 16, he bounced back with 22 points against Arkansas in the Elite 8.

Davion Mitchell, a 6-foot-2 junior guard, averages 14 ppg, but he’s the deadliest shooter on the team with a 45% clip from downtown. He hasn’t hit a 3-pointer since the second round, however, and shot blanks with an 0-for-3 clip against Villanova. He didn’t even attempt a trey in the Elite 8 against Arkansas.

Fan-favorite Matthew Mayer sports a mullet, but don’t let his goofy hairstyle fool you. Mayer, a 6-foot-9 swingman, posted a couple of big games so far in March Madness, including 17 points against Wisconsin. He only averages 8.2 ppg, but he shoots 40% from 3-point range.

Path to the Final Four

Baylor won all four of their March Madness games by double digits, yet they had two games in which they shot blanks from 3-point range.

Baylor ended the regular season with the #3 ranking, according to the AP Top 25 Poll, and earned a #1 seed in the South Regional.

In the opening round, Baylor edged out #16 Hartford by 24 points despite terrible outside shooting, including missing 22 3-point shots. Baylor’s Big 3 combined for 47 points, which is impressive, considering Hartford tallied just 55 points.

During the Round of 32, Baylor edged out #9 Wisconsin by 13 points, but shot much better from 3-point range with a 47.1% clip. Butler and Mitchell added 16 points each, while Mayer and his awesome mullet led all scorers with 17 points off the bench.

In the Sweet 16, Baylor bypassed #5 Villanova in a low-scoring affair, but still won by 11 points. Villanova blew a double-digit lead and Baylor stormed back and outscored Villanova 39-21 in the second half. Baylor’s starters went cold from beyond the arc, shooting a combined 1-for-13. Mitchell was the only starter to score in double-digits. Baylor was boosted by 24 bench points, including 16 points from backup guard Adam Flagler.

In the Elite 8, Baylor slipped by #3 Arkansas with an 11-point victory. The Bears utilized better shot selection, especially the starters, who combined 5-for-10 from downtown. Overall, Baylor shot 53.3% from 3-point range, while the Bears’ perimeter defense held Arkansas to 3-for-11 in 3-point shooting.

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